Europe's Online Advertising Should Top €10 billion by 2008
Forrester Research's Jaap Favier predicts €100 billion will be spent online in 2006, growing to €263 billion in 2011:
In the coming five years, the number of Europeans shopping online will grow from 100 million to 174 million. Their average yearly Net retail spending will grow from around €1,000 to € 1,500, as UK Net consumers, who currently spend €1,744 each year, outspend even their US counterparts online. Overall, this will cause European eCommerce to surge to €263 billion in 2011, with travel, clothes, groceries, and consumer electronics all above the €10 billion per year mark.
But the bulk of the growth is to come from the mainstream users, who comprise 90% of the retail customers, are starting to have an impact in online spending. As broadband becomes widespread, the non-techie customers are being won over by convenience and price advantages offered by online retailers. Favian told ZDNET that
"Consumers take about a year after going online before they will purchase something online. The first thing they purchase is either a book, a CD or a trip.
All welcome news for all online businesses, including online publishers. Using the traditional 10% of sales is the marketing budget rule-of-thumb, the online marketing spend for Europe should top €10 billion in 2006. The prediction is below Jupiter Media Metrix's forecast of €4,014 million by 2008. A reflection of the online advertising struggle to gain its proportinoal share of the overall advertising spend.
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